Market News

Where to Buy a Home in San Francisco for the Money You Want to Spend

The charts below are based upon San Francisco home sales reported to MLS during the 12 months from 2/16/16 – 2/15/17, breaking out the neighborhoods with, generally speaking, the most sales within given price points. Other neighborhoods not listed did ...
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San Francisco Home Value Tables by Neighborhood, Property Type & Bedroom Count

These tables report median sales prices, average home size and units sold, by property type and bedroom count for a variety of San Francisco neighborhoods. If you are interested in data for a neighborhood not listed, please contact us. The ...
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Ups & Downs in Bay Area Real Estate Markets

We have updated our median home price maps for the entire Bay Area by city, for San Francisco by neighborhood, and then specifically for the Marin, Lamorinda & Diablo Valley, and Wine Country markets. To access them, click on the ...
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SF Luxury Home Market Report

In this report, various price thresholds will be used for the luxury home designation, depending on when the chart was first created, if different property types are being combined, or simply to look at the high-end market from slightly different ...
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San Francisco District Home Sales Breakdown

These charts show the breakdown of San Francisco home sales as reported to the city’s Multiple Listing Service in 2016 (as reported by 12/21/16). These analyses are sorted by city districts and neighborhoods by the number of transactions in different sales-price ...
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Gold, Google, Facebook & San Francisco Homes

This first chart is a somewhat lighthearted, but we believe accurate look at how various 2011 investments would have played out through 2016. (FB is dated from its 2012 IPO.) When calculating appreciation, purchase and sale dates are critical factors, ...
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Home Price Tables by SF Neighborhood

These tables report median sales prices, average home size and units sold, by property type and bedroom count for a variety of San Francisco neighborhoods. If you are interested in data for a neighborhood not listed, please contact us. The ...
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Real Estate Cycles, Interest Rates & Neighborhood Appreciation Trends

The first chart below is a simplified graph based on the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index illustrating percentage increases and decreases in prices for houses in the higher-price tier. The markets in San Francisco, Marin, San Mateo and Lamorinda/Diablo Valley ...
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Rising Interest Rates & Bay Area Housing Affordability

Changes in interest rates affect local, national and international economies in a bewildering variety of positive and negative ways depending on the segment, and there is vehement disagreement as to what rate or rate movement is best, or most dangerous, ...
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Multiple Angles on a Changing San Francisco Market

Median sales prices usually jump in autumn, to a large degree because of the seasonal increase in luxury home sales, and that is what happened in October. The combined house and condo median sales price was up 6% from October ...
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San Francisco’s Hottest, Most Competitive Neighborhood Market

Since the market recovery began in 2012, various districts have taken the lead as the hottest markets in San Francisco: The affluent and prestigious Noe-Eureka-Cole Valleys district and Pacific Heights-Marina district led the recovery out of recession. Later South Beach/SoMa, ...
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Heading into the Autumn Selling Season

2015 to 2016 YTD, the overall median price for condos, which now comprise the majority of home sales in the city, remained exactly the same at $1,100,000: Among other issues, this market segment is clearly being impacted by an increase ...
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Income, Affluence, Poverty & the Cost of Housing: Housing Affordability in the San Francisco Bay Area

The California Association of Realtors just released its Housing Affordability Index (HAI) for the 2nd quarter of 2016, which measures the percentage of households that can afford to buy the median priced single family dwelling (house). In this analysis, affordability ...
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Bay Area Real Estate & Demographics

While waiting for the autumn market to begin, we thought we would step back and look at the Bay Area from a variety of angles. If you are tired of reading about real estate, there are some interesting demographic analyses ...
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Home Value Tables by San Francisco Neighborhood

These tables report median sales prices and average dollar per square foot values, along with average home size and units sold, by property type and bedroom count for a variety of San Francisco neighborhoods. If you are interested in data ...
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San Francisco Bay Area Apartment Building Market

Financial markets worldwide have seen dramatic volatility in this past 12 months, the Bay Area economy and new hiring have cooled, and the San Francisco house and condo market started to normalize after 4 feverishly overheated years. From a wide ...
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A Soft Landing after 4 Years of Market Frenzy?

San Francisco Median Sales Prices by Quarter Since median sales prices fluctuate so much by season, the most useful metric is year over year, i.e. comparing Q2 2016 to Q2 2015. In Q2 2016, the year-over-year appreciation rate was 4% ...
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Significant Changes in San Francisco & Bay Area Employment Trends

Analyzing new data (preliminary May numbers) from the CA Employment Development Department indicates a significant shift in Bay Area employment numbers. As seen in the first chart below, looking at the 4 central Bay Area Counties, comparing the first 5 ...
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Wealth, Employment, Demand, Inventory, Affordability and San Francisco Home Prices

Two of the biggest drivers of local real estate demand in recent years have been increasing employment and new wealth creation, both of which exploded in San Francisco and the Bay Area. Approximately 600,000 new Bay Area jobs and 100,000 ...
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San Francisco New Housing Construction & Inventory Trends

Many of the charts included below are based on the San Francisco Planning Department’s excellent 75-page 2015 Housing Inventory report, released on May 27, 2016, which can be accessed using the link at the bottom of this article. We are ...
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Midway through the Spring 2016 Selling Season

San Francisco Median Home Price Appreciation Short-Term & Long-Term Trends As seen in the first chart below, the combined house-condo median sales price hit a new high in April. However, as the second chart illustrates, so far this year, while ...
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Auto Updating Stats for the SF Home Market….

The bar charts compare year-over-year data, going back 2 years, for the latest month. The line charts track monthly data over a period of 3 to 5 years. Note that it can take 7 to 15 days after a month’s ...
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Recessions, Recoveries & Bubbles

Below is a look at the past 30+ years of San Francisco Bay Area real estate boom and bust cycles. Financial-market cycles have been around for hundreds of years, all the way back to the Dutch tulip mania of the ...
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New Housing Construction in San Francisco

The SF Planning Department just released updated Q4 2015 information regarding the new-housing development pipeline. San Francisco is in the midst of one of its biggest new-housing construction booms in history. (The same is occurring on the commercial development side, ...
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San Francisco House & Condo Markets Diverge

In the first quarter of 2016, various market segments in the city began to trend in significantly different directions. Houses, especially those below $2 million, are still often selling in a frenzy of bidding: Recent reports of houses selling with ...
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Updated S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The S&P Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of San Francisco’s, Marin’s and Central Contra Costa’s ...
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US and San Francisco Economic Trends

A selection of charts looking a various angles of current economic trends in the United States and San Francisco. For the past 50 years, the San Francisco and Bay Area housing markets have only “crashed” in tandem with a large, ...
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San Francisco Real Estate Market Report (including 13 custom charts)

Monthly and seasonal fluctuations in median sales prices are quite normal and do not necessarily say much about changes in fair market values. For that one must look at longer-term trends. However, for what it is worth, the median price ...
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New Housing Construction in San Francisco

The SF Planning Department just released updated information regarding the new-housing development pipeline. San Francisco is in the midst of one of its biggest new-housing construction booms in history. (The same is occurring on the commercial development side, but this ...
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Relationship Status & Homeownership?

Source : Parascopesf.com ...
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San Francisco Median Condo Price Appreciation 2011 to 2015, by Neighborhood

Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in ...
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San Francisco Median House Price Appreciation 2011 to 2015, by Neighborhood

Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in ...
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New Case-Shiller Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The new S&P Case-Shiller Index for November 2015 for the 5-county, San Francisco Metro Statistical Area was published today. According to C-S, home prices continued to tick up a small bit through the autumn market. Most of these charts track ...
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The San Francisco Real Estate Market in 2015

Architecture, views, probates, penthouses, lofts, TICs, luxury homes, mortgage rates, sales prices, market cycles, and everything else we could think of in a look back on 2015. Quarterly Median Price Chart & Monthly Case-Shiller Chart & Sales by Price Range ...
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Preparing Your Home For Winter

Source : Parascopesf.com ...
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The Fed Interest Rate Increase

On Wednesday, the Fed increased its key interest rate for the first time in 7 years – by .25%. So far, it has had a tremendous effect on the FHLMC average 30-year mortgage interest rate: It soared from 3.95% on ...
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Heading into the Holiday Slowdown after an Interesting Autumn Market

Median sales prices in October and November jumped back up to levels similar to the spring peak selling season. It’s important to remember that median prices are not a perfect reflection of changes in fair market value: They often fluctuate ...
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New Case-Shiller Home Price Index Report

This chart gives an exceedingly clear illustration of the seasonality of home price appreciation over the past 4 years. Summer/autumn plateau in 2015? It’s happened to a large degree every year since 2012. We won’t really know where the market ...
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San Francisco New-Home Construction

The SF Planning Department just released updated Q3 information regarding the new-housing development pipeline. San Francisco is in the midst of one of its biggest new-housing construction booms in history. (The same is occurring on the commercial development side, but ...
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Housing Affordability and Market Corrections – Paragon Report

A look at San Francisco Bay Area housing affordability trends over time and how they intersect with real estate market corrections: The 2008 San Francisco Bay Area real estate crash was not caused just by a local affordability crisis: It ...
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Interest Rates & Affordability

Interest rates have ticked up a little bit and are now just below 4%. The Q3 CAR Affordability Index just came out: Q2 to Q3, San Francisco remained the same, at a very low 10% Index reading; Marin ticked up ...
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S&P … China … Bay Area Real Estate Market

Not so long ago, grave concern regarding the Chinese stock market decline and its effect on the U.S. economy filled the media and blogs. The words “bubble” and “crash” were used a few million times in regards to the U.S ...
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Luxury Home Segment Cools Down “Affordable” Homes Market Remains Competitive

San Francisco led the Bay Area and the nation when its real estate recovery began in early 2012. Within the city itself, the more affluent neighborhoods led the rebound from the 2008 – 2011 recession and saw the highest rates ...
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