Market News

Interest Rates & Affordability

Interest rates have ticked up a little bit and are now just below 4%. The Q3 CAR Affordability Index just came out: Q2 to Q3, San Francisco remained the same, at a very low 10% Index reading; Marin ticked up ...
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S&P … China … Bay Area Real Estate Market

Not so long ago, grave concern regarding the Chinese stock market decline and its effect on the U.S. economy filled the media and blogs. The words “bubble” and “crash” were used a few million times in regards to the U.S ...
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Luxury Home Segment Cools Down “Affordable” Homes Market Remains Competitive

San Francisco led the Bay Area and the nation when its real estate recovery began in early 2012. Within the city itself, the more affluent neighborhoods led the rebound from the 2008 – 2011 recession and saw the highest rates ...
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Newly Released Case-Shiller Index

The new S&P Case-Shiller Index for August was just released this week. The prices for homes in the upper third of prices – which dominate in most of San Francisco, central and southern Marin, and central Contra Costa – ticked ...
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S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The S&P Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of San Francisco’s, Marin’s and Central Contra Costa’s ...
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The San Francisco Fall Antiques Show // Benefiting Enterprise for High School Students

The San Francisco Fall Antiques Show, now in its 34th year, is the oldest and most prestigious art and antiques fair on the West Coast. Held at Fort Mason each fall, the FAS presents 60 of the finest art and ...
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We Have The List: Dog Parks! [Infographic]

The best place to take your pup! ...
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October 2015 San Francisco Real Estate Report

The autumn selling season started with a large surge of new listings right after Labor Day, but it will be another month or so before preliminary statistical data is available on home sales negotiated since then. However, it is clear ...
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Months Supply of Inventory, Seasonality, and its Relationship to Pricing

We’ve always known that seasonality plays a big role in real estate, but this Months Supply of Inventory (MSI) chart shows: 1) The lower-priced (under $2m) market has the most competitive supply and demand dynamic. 2) How much more seasonality ...
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Autumn SF Home Selling Season Begins Against Backdrop of Market Volatility

Real estate markets are essentially determined by the balance – or imbalance, as is often the case – between buyer demand and seller supply of homes to purchase. Underlying that dynamic are economic, political and demographic factors – some local, ...
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Recessions, Recoveries & Bubbles: 30 Years of Housing Market Cycles in San Francisco & Marin

Below is a look at the past 30+ years of San Francisco Bay Area real estate boom and bust cycles. Financial-market cycles have been around for hundreds of years, all the way back to the Dutch tulip mania of the ...
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San Francisco Bay Area Housing Affordability

The California Association of Realtors just released its Housing Affordability Index (HAI) for the 2nd quarter of 2015. All Bay Area counties saw declines in their affordability index reading – which measures the percentage of households that can afford to ...
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Realtor.com ranked San Francisco as the #1 Hottest Housing Market in July

The U.S. housing market may be finding more balance, according to a new report from realtor.com®. For the first three weeks in July, the median list price rose to $234,000 nationwide, up 7 percent year-over-year, while inventories of for-sale homes ...
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Where to Buy a Home in San Francisco for the Money You Want to Spend

The charts below are based upon 2015 YTD transactions reported to MLS by July 24, 2015 . We’ve generally broken out the neighborhoods with the most sales within given price points. To a large degree, if you’re buying a house ...
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Tips to Keeping Your Home Safe Against the Rain [An Infographic]

Predictions for a strong El Nino effect may mean a heavy rain season in the Bay Area. Now’s the time to prepare! ...
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Home Sales by San Francisco District and Price

These charts show the breakdown of San Francisco home sales as reported to the city’s Multiple Listing Service, year to date 2015. We picked this period because, generally speaking prices appreciated again in late winter/ early spring 2015. These analyses ...
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The San Francisco Market for Buildings of 2-4 Residential Units

2-4 unit residential buildings contain about 80,000 or 21% of the housing units in San Francisco. This report will assess only such smaller apartment buildings that have not been converted to condos or exclusive-use TIC units: Condos and TICs are ...
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The San Francisco Real Estate Market The Paragon Mid-Year Report

Bay Area Appreciation Rates since 2011 Combined House & Condo Median Sales Prices Besides the general economic recovery, there are other factors in different counties affecting home price increases over the past 4 years: 1) the huge decline in distressed ...
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San Francisco Neighborhood Home Prices Continue to Break Records

Median Sales Prices; Luxury Home Sales; Housing Affordability Index; Home Values by Neighborhood; Investment Real Estate; New Development Median House & Condo Sales Prices As the 2015 market has accelerated, median home sales prices have been hitting new highs in ...
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Updated S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The S&P Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of the San Francisco’s and Marin’s house sales ...
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1000 Ways to Enjoy San Francisco & the Bay Area This Summer

Guests are coming, the kids are out of school, or you just want to do something different than usual. Summer has arrived in one of the most beautiful and multi-dimensional places on earth, and here is a wide variety of ...
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Another Challenging Spring for Buyers; Sellers Rejoice as Home Prices Hit New Highs

Escalating Home Prices; Fierce Overbidding; Luxury Home Sales; Interest Rates; Employment Trends; Biggest Home Sales of 2015 YTD June 2015 San Francisco Real Estate Report by Paragon Real Estate Group 4 Angles on San Francisco Home Price Appreciation Short-Term Trend ...
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Updated S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The S&P Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of the San Francisco’s and Marin’s house sales ...
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San Francisco Home Price Appreciation

This chart updates, with the last prices the medians for 2015 YTD (i.e. 1/1 – 5/21/15) ...
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San Francisco Neighborhood Home Prices Continue to Break Records

Median Sales Prices; Luxury Home Sales; Housing Affordability Index; Home Values by Neighborhood; Investment Real Estate; New Development Median House & Condo Sales Prices As the 2015 market has accelerated, median home sales prices have been hitting new highs in ...
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Updated S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of the San Francisco’s and Marin’s house sales are ...
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San Francisco New-Housing Construction Trends

Many of the charts included in this report are based on or excerpted from the San Francisco Planning Department’s 82-page 2014 Housing Inventory report, released in April 2015, which can be accessed using the link at the bottom of this ...
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San Francisco Luxury Home Market Report

In this report, we will define luxury homes in San Francisco as houses, condos, co-ops and TICs selling for $2,000,000 or more. Homes selling in this price range currently make up a little more than 10% of the SF residential ...
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First Quarter 2015 Update: The San Francisco Real Estate Market

San Francisco Home Value Appreciation The chart above illustrates the continued march upward of median home sales prices in San Francisco. However, if we separate out house from condo sales, an interesting trend appears: The median house sales price basically ...
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The Story behind San Francisco’s “Extremely Low Inventory” (It’s not because no one is selling)

First some context: For the last 15 years, the number of MLS home sales in San Francisco has ranged from 4663 in 2009 to 7887 in 2004, with an average of 6115 per year. In 2014, MLS sales numbered 6120 ...
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Taking the Temperatures of Bay Area Real Estate Markets

Across the Bay Area, how many listings sell without price reductions, how quickly do they sell, and at what percentage of asking price? What role does employment play in the real estate market? Which are the biggest and smallest county ...
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Another Feverish Spring Market? March 2015 Report

Overbidding & Inventory; Bay Area Home Price Map; Renting vs. Buying; Different Markets = Different Bubbles, Crashes & Recoveries Preliminary statistics and, even more so, indications on the ground in the current hurly burly of deal-making are sending strong signals ...
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My Listing 126 Miraloma Drive is on SFGate

I'm honored that SFGate featured my 126 Miraloma Drive listing. This property is truly extraordinary and a privilege to be presenting it for sale. -Jane Plenty of pedestrians on Miraloma Drive in St. Francis Wood have no idea what they ...
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Renting vs Buying a Home in San Francisco

“Renting can make sense as a lifestyle choice or because of income constraints. As a means to building wealth, however, there is no practical substitute for homeownership.” New York Times, “Homeownership & Affluence,” 11/30/14 op-ed article Please Note: Rent vs ...
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Updated S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for San Francisco Metro Area

The Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of the San Francisco’s and Marin’s house sales are ...
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SoMa-South Beach-Yerba Buena-Mission Bay

Many more condos are sold in the South Beach/ Yerba Buena/ South of Market (SoMa)/ Mission Bay neighborhoods of San Francisco than any other area of the city, and since new construction is surging here, that trajectory will only continue ...
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Home Sales by San Francisco District and Price

These charts show the breakdown of San Francisco home sales as reported to the city’s Multiple Listing Service for periods of 6 to 8 months ending January 31, 2015. We picked this period because, generally speaking prices stabilized after the ...
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The San Francisco Real Estate Market

Median Sales Prices, Neighborhood Values, Seasonality & Demand, Condo Construction, New SF “Airbnb” Law, Appreciation vs. Inflation February 2015, Paragon Real Estate Group The market just begins to wake up in January, so its statistics are not particularly illuminating. The ...
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Current SF Home Value Tables by Neighborhood

For access to all our market analyses: Paragon Market Reports These tables report average and median sales prices and average dollar per square foot values, along with average home size and units sold, by property type and bedroom count for ...
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Seasonality in the San Francisco Homes Market

Seasonality typically affects inventory levels, buyer demand and median home prices, often in significant ways – as is illustrated in the following charts. However, it is not theonly factor affecting market conditions and trends – general economic conditions and financial ...
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Sold: 136 Mountain Spring Ave.

Offered at $1,950,000 Sold for $1,875,000 ...
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3 Years into the Recovery: San Francisco Real Estate as 2015 Begins

San Francisco Real Estate Cycles, 1984 – 2014 The 2 charts above look at the last 30 years of real estate cycles, and also compare percentage appreciation during the first 3 years of recent market recoveries (the light blue columns ...
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New Case-Shiller: Bay Area Home Prices Tick Up a Little

After the feverish spring 2014 market, home prices in the high-price tier – which applies best to San Francisco and Marin counties – flattened and then ticked down a little, while more affordable home segments continued to tick up: It’s ...
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Sold: 140 Brentwood Avenue

Offered at $1,250,000 Sold for $1,350,000 ...
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San Francisco New Construction/Development Report

Highlights from the Q3 2014 Pipeline Report by the SF Planning Department December 2014, compiled by Paragon Real Estate Group On December 19th, the San Francisco Planning Department issued its excellent Q3 2014 Pipeline Report, which tracks new residential and commercial ...
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